Op-eds and SPEECHES, by Jeffrey Frankel
PLEASE GO TO
NEW JF WEBSITE
FOR OP-EDS & TALKS FROM JAN. 2017 ONWARD
"An Economy That Works for All Americans,” slides, Bipartisan Program for Newly Elected Members of Congress, Institute of Politics, December 7, 2016.
"What Will Happen When President Trump Takes Office?" The Guardian, November 11, 2016. "Who is President Trump?" P. Synd., Nov. 9, 2016. Extended as "What Will the Trump Presidency Look Like?" Nov. 12; or at Econbrowser Nov. 14. Revised for MRCBG, Nov. 20, 2016.
"Clinton Economics vs. Trump Economics” (word; pdf) written for Candidate Clinton’s Chance, an OMFIF report (London), released Oct. 28, 2016.
"Understanding the Global Slowdown," slides, pdf, Program on China Business Leadership and Innovation, HKS Executive Education and Cheung Kong School of Business (CKGSB), September 14th, 2016
Comment on "Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications and Some Evidence,” by Olivier Blanchard, Jonathan Ostry, Atish R. Ghosh & Marcos Chamon, IFM, NBER Summer Institute, July 12, 2016
"Are Democrats Really Better for the Economy?" Project Syndicate, June 22, 2016. E.g., in Financial Advisor, June 2016. Extended version, Econbrowser.
"Potential Output" (PDF), Outline of Introductory Comments, Bellagio Group, Banca d'Italia, January 2016.
"Overview of some recent activities in the NBER program in International Finance and Macroeconomics," September 28, 2015.
“Domestic Economy: The Middle Class Crunch” slides (pdf). Outline of remarks. Bipartisan Program for New Members of Congress, Dec.3, 2014, Institute of Politics, Harvard University.
Inequality & the Election," The Clair Wilcox Lecture, Swarthmore College, Oct.
24, 2016. Outline.
“Policies for Managing External Shocks in Commodity-Exporting
Conference on Current Account Sustainability:
"Fiscal Cyclicality in
EM Countries," Macroeconomic Policy Seminar, Harvard Economics
Dept., Oct.18, 2016.
“Recent developments in
China’s economy, stock market & foreign exchange market,”
Outline, China Economy session,
Asia Business Conference, Harvard Business School, Feb.28 2016.
"Trade, Growth and the Environment,"
guest lecture, Rob Stavins'
class, April 2017. PDF of slides.
Plaza Accord, 30 Years Later,” for
on Currency Policy Then and Now:
30th Anniversary of the Plaza Accord, at
the Baker Institute for Public Policy, Rice University, October 1, 2015. Video
of session 1,
Policy in Emerging Markets,"
June 2, 2015; powerpt.
Economic Advisory Panel meeting, Federal Reserve Bank
of New York, November 21, 2014.
Interest Rates are Not the Demon of Populist Claims,” The Guardian.
Blind Alley of Monetary Populists,"
, October 25, 2016.
Domestic Threat to US Leadership,”
Apr. 13, 2016; e.g., in
Red States, Blue States,"
Oct. 4, 2012.
Leaders' Eyes on the Prize,"
Korea Herald, Oct.21
Global Economic Environment for Emerging Markets,"
Colombia, May 3, 2012. Appendix slides.
May Be Slow, But at Least It's a Recovery,"
slides, Harvard. Oct.2010.
“The Natural Resource Curse: Causal
Channels," University of Havana, Cuba, Nov.2, 2012.
"How Can Commodity
Producers Reduce Procyclicality?" slides,
Completing the Agenda,
Conference, Session on Fighting Volatility in Commodity Markets,
French Ministry of Finance, Paris, Jan.2011.
"Making Inflation Targeting Appropriately Flexible" & "On the Rand," South African
Treasury, Pretoria, Jan.16, 2007. Slides.
"Prospects for Monetary Integration in Southern Africa," slides Stellenbosch University, Jan.18, 2007.
"Implicit Volatilities in Options Prices are Too Low," TransNational Research, London, Jan. 12, 2007.
Frankel and Amartya Sen debate in the Forum "Is the Language of Rights
Useful in the Fight Against Poverty?"
"Falling Dollar," Martin Wolf's Financial Times column, and JF comments thereon, Economists' Forum, FT.com, Dec. 6, 2006.
“What Do Economists Mean by Globalization? Implications for Inflation and Monetary Policy,”for Academic Consultants Meeting, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Sept.28, 2006. Slides with graphs. Forthcoming in Economic Integration - Global Experience, Icfai Unive. Press (Institute of Chartered Financial Analysts of India) Hyderbad; 2007.
on "International Currency Rankings," including video excerpt
Kennedy School Insight, May 2006.
"The Economic Outlook and the Twin Deficits," Boston Economic Club, May 24, 2006. Earlier versions were presented at The Columbus Group, Harvard University, Feb. 17, 2006; an Ambrosetti meeting, Villa d’Este, Italy, March 31; and the Economic Advisory Panel Meeting of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, April 7, 2006; and the Real Estate Academic Initiative, at Harvard University, April 19, 2006.
“How disruptive would $80-$100 oil be to the US and global economies?” April 2006, question for The International Economy.
rising US interest rates precipitate the next wave of emerging market
International Economy, Winter 2005.
“On the Renminbi,” CESifo Forum, vol 6, no. 3, Autumn 2005, p. 16-21 Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Munich.
“As a Budget Storm Gathers, Bush Ignores Fiscal Forecast ,” The Forward, Sept. 16-22, 2005. Translated into Japanese in SAPIO magazine, Tokyo.
[China's Announcement of de-linking from RMB to the $ -- Segment on On Point radio show July 21, 2005]
"Pro-Trade Arguments in Answer to the Contrarians," July 11, 2005. Financial Times.
"What's Ahead: Decade of the Dollar, the
Euro, or the RMB?" Eurobank, Athens, Greece, 21 June, 2005.
"What Can An Economic Adviser Do When the President Adopts Bad Economic Policies?" The Pierson Lecture, Swarthmore College, Apr. 21, 2005. . Incl. tribute to Bernie Saffran.
Why Are Oil and Metal Prices High? Don’t Forget Low Interest Rates, published as “Real Interest Rates Cast a Shadow Over Oil,” Financial Times, 4/15/05.
"The Wrong Approach," Jeffrey Frankel and Jessica Stern, The Baltimore Sun, October 29, 2004. Pg. 17A.
"A Debate on the Deficit," Challenge, November 2004, pp. 12-45. Reprinted in The Means to Prosperity: Fiscal Policy Reconsidered, edited by Per Gunnar Berglund and Matias Vernengo (Routledge, 2005)
"The World Trading System and Implications of External Opening" written for "From the Washington Consensus Towards a New Global Governance," Fundacio CIDOB, Barcelona, Spain, held Sept. 24-25, 2004.
"Designing a Regime of Emission Commitments for Developing Countries that is Cost-Effective and Equitable" (with Joseph Aldy), written for G20 Leaders and Climate Change, Council on Foreign Relations, Sept. 20-21, 2004.
"Kyoto and Geneva: Linkage of the Climate Change Regime and the Trade Regime" a speech for Broadening Climate Discussion: The Linkage of Climate Change to Other Policy Areas, FEEM/MIT conference, Venice, Italy, June 2004. KSG RWP04-042.
"Twin Deficits and Twin Decades," a speech written for the conference on the Macroeconomics of Fiscal Policy, held by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, at Wequassett, June 14-16, 2004.
Renminbi: The choice between adjustment under a fixed exchange rate
and adjustment under a flexible rate," written
for a High-Level Seminar on Foreign Exchange System, Dalian, China, May 26-27, 2004.
Presentation at American Enterprise Institute, Washington DC, Jan. 10, 2005
"Ten Defenses for Irresponsible Tax Cuts, and Why They are Wrong," panel on The Budget Deficit and the American Economy: How Much Does the Deficit Matter? What Should Be Done? with Richard Darman, Glenn Hubbard, and Alice Rivlin, Kennedy School of Government, April 30, 2004.
A Proposal to Tie Iraq’s Currency to Oil published as "A Crude Peg for the Iraqi Dinar," June 13, 2003, Financial Times.
When An Economic Adviser Disagrees with the President, Financial Times, March 31, 2003 (.pdf version)
"Deficits and Decades: Lessons from US Economic Policy in the 1990s," speech at ICRIER, New Delhi, India, Jan. 15, 2003.
“Currency Blocs and Market Integration: Implications for Trade and Business Cycle Correlations,” A background report for the Commission on The UK Outside the Euro, October 30, 2002.
"Trading Places", September 13, 2002, Financial Times.
"EMU and the Euro: An American Perspective," Lucchini Foundation, Brescia, June 22, 2000. (In Italian)
"US Economic Performance, and Implications for Mexico," delivered at State of the Government, First National Meeting of Legislators of the National Action Party (PAN), Puerto Vallarta, Mexico, August 23, 2001.
"Economic Advantages of America," Europa und USA im Spannungsfled vonWirtschaft und Politik, Schloss Schönbrunn, Vienna, 16 May 2001; and Dublin Castle, Dublin, Ireland, 7 June 2001.
Lecture at IMF Institute, August 7, 2000; as reported in IMF Survey, vol. 29, no.17, August 28, 2000.
"Globalization: Why and How It Should Continue," presented at the MacArthur Transnational Economic Security Workshop, MIT, May 2000.
"EMU and the Euro: An American Perspective," for EMU Watch Series, DB Research, presented at Deutsche Bank, Frankfurt, June 21, 2000; and the Lucchini Foundation, Brescia, June 22, 2000. (In Italian)
"The Economics of the Kyoto Protocol and Global Climate Change Policy," Kennedy School Forum, Harvard University, March 15, 2000.
"Critiques of the IMF," for a debate with Jeff Sachs --The IMF: Are 50 Years Enough? moderated by Joe Nye, KSG, Harvard University, April 20, 2000.
"Achieving Environmental Goals at Minimum Economic Cost,"Edison Electric Institute Advisory Panel on Fuel Diversity, EEI Chief Executives Conference, Palm Springs, CA, Jan. 13, 2000
"On Reports that Someone in Washington Has Mislaid Russia," Dean's community-wide discussion on The Future of Russia, December 13, 1999, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. Published in The Russian Weekly; Delovoi, Russia; Lietevos Aidas, Lithuania; Logos Press, Moldova; Aki Press, Kyrgystan; and Siue, Slovakia; Fall 2000.
"The Outlook for the US Trade Balance," Academic Consultants Meeting, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Nov. 29, 1999.
"U.S. Economic Performance and Lessons for Other Countries," Weatherhead Fellows Conference, American Academy of Arts and Sciences, Nov. 20, 1999; revised for meeting with members of Japanese Diet, Center for Business and Government, November 16, 2000.
"Lessons Learned from the Korean Crisis," Conference on The Korean Crisis, Center for International Development, Harvard University, Nov. 19, 1999.
"Asia: Opportunity or Obstruction," conference on Global Economics and Global Security: The Balance in the New Millennium, KSG, Sept. 23, 1999.
"Is the US Interested in Exercising Dollar Diplomacy?" (abridged), address to Conference on Dollarization, InterAmerican Development Bank, Panama City, Panama, July 1999.
"No Single Currency Regime is Right for All Countries," testimony before the House Committee on Banking and Financial Services, May 21, 1999.
"Dollarization in Latin America: Solution or Straitjacket?" remarks at the Council on Foreign Relations, Washington DC, April 6, 1999, and International Monetary Fund, June 24, 1999.
“The Kyoto Agreement on Global Climate Change: The Administration Economic Analysis,” Luncheon Remarks to the NBER Conference on Tax Policy and the Economy, Hotel Washington, October 20, 1998. Appendix: Tables and Charts of Effects on Energy Prices.
"Curbing Carbon Emissions and the Kyoto Protocol: Perspective from the Administration," Washington Policy Seminar, Macroeconomic Advisers, Georgetown Conference Center, September 10, 1998, and the International Monetary Fund, June 24, 1999.
"Economic Analysis of the Kyoto Protocol," After Kyoto: Are There Rational Pathways to a Sustainable Global Energy System?, 1998 Aspen Energy Forum, Aspen, Colorado, July 6, 1998. Appendix: Tables and Charts of Effects on Energy Prices.
"The Kyoto Agreement on Mitigating Global Climate Change: Gains to All from Participation by Developing Countries," Keynote speech, Executive Program on Climate Change and Development, Harvard Institute for International Development, Harvard University, July 17, 1998.
"Regional Trading Arrangements: Barriers or Stepping Stones for Global Free Trade," Agenda for the Twenty-first Century, World Bank, July 9, 1998.
"Trade Blocs: Barriers or Stepping Stones for Global Trade and Investment," Keynote Speech before the International Federation of Associations of Business Economists (IFABE), Vancouver, Canada, November 19, 1997.
"Fast-track and the Continuing Importance of Trade Liberalization," Symposium on Freer Trade: In Whose Interest?, The Carter Center, Atlanta, Georgia, October 20, 1997.
"How to Gauge the Importance of Trade to the U.S. Economy," address to the National Economists Club, Washington, D.C., Oct. 7, 1997.
"How to Gauge the Importance of Trade to the U.S. Economy," address to Conference of Business Economists, Washington, DC, May 8, 1997.
"The Second Clinton Administration's Policies Toward Korea and East Asia," Address to the Korea-US Twenty-First Century Council, Washington, D.C., May 1, 1997.
"Statement before the Senate Banking Committee" and hearing, as Nominee for Member of the President's Council of Economic Advisers, Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, US Senate, Washington, DC, March 6, 1997. US Government Printing Office.
"The Dollar's Demise? Future of the Dollar as the World's Principal Reserve Asset," H.W.Brock, editor, Strategic Economic Decisions, Inc., Menlo Park, Ca., August 1997.
"Sustainability of Currency Arrangements and Causes
of Major Devaluations in Eight Latin American and Southeast Asian Countries," JETRO
New York, June 1995.
"Trade Bind: Now It's Harder to Fix a Recession," with Barry Eichengreen, New York Times oped, August 14, 1988.
"Tax Policy, Trade Policy and American Competitiveness," in From the Southwest to the World, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, July 1989. Speech, Dallas, October 1988. Also abridged & translated into Japanese in Economist, The Mainichi Newspapers, Dec.20, 1988, 51-5.